Update on Sun Spot AR1654

INCREASING CHANCE OF FLARES: Big sunspot AR1654 is growing more active. It is now crackling with M-class solar flares, such as this one recorded by NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory this morning at 09:11 UT:

AR1654 is getting bigger as it turns toward Earth: movie. Not only is the chance of flares increasing, but also the chance of an Earth-directed eruption.This could be the sunspot that breaks the recent lengthy spell of calm space weather around our planet. http://spaceweather.com/

 

Updated at: 2013 Jan 11 2235 UTC   Flare -  0-24hr    24-48hr
                                                         ClassM   60%        60%  
                                                         ClassX    05%        05%